Tuesday 29 November 2011

Rights to emit greenhouse gases and taking historical accountability

Poor nations say wealthy countries became rich using coal, oil and gas and that they must be allowed to burn fossil fuels to escape poverty. Rich nations say major developing economies, such as China, India and Brazil, must submit to emissions cuts if the world has any chance of halting dangerous climate change. -- Last chance to save Kyoto deal at climate talks

More reading:
‘Vulnerable countries consider “occupying” COP17 talks

Some additional information:
The objective of the Kyoto climate change conference was to establish a legally binding international agreement, whereby all the participating nations commit themselves to tackling the issue of global warming and greenhouse gas emissions, USA is not a signatory of the protocol  

U.S. History with the Protocol, from Wikipedia  

Clinton Administration 
Vice President Al Gore was a main participant in putting the Kyoto Protocol together in 1997. President Bill Clinton signed the agreement in 1997, but the US Senate refused to ratify it, citing potential damage to the US economy required by compliance. The Senate also balked at the agreement because it excluded certain developing countries, including India and China, from having to comply with new emissions standards. 

Bush administration 
Similar objections to the Kyoto Protocol were why the Bush administration refused to sign. They argued the division between Annex 1 and developing countries was unfair, and that both countries needed to reduce their emissions unilaterally. President George W. Bush claimed that the cost of following the Protocols requirements will stress the economy. “George Bush made campaign promises in 2000 to regulate carbon dioxide as a pollutant. However, in 2001, George Bush pulled the US out of the Kyoto accords as one of the first acts of his presidency. Bush dismissed Kyoto Protocol as too costly, describing it as "an unrealistic and ever-tightening straitjacket." The Bush administration questioned the validity of the science behind global warming, and claims that millions of jobs will be lost if the US joins in this world pact.

Al Gore accused Bush of showing the world "a stunning display of moral cowardice." "Kyoto's ability to survive the near-fatal attacks of the Bush administration is testimony to the urgency of the climate problem." Worldwatch Institute Laurie David, Natural Resources Defense Council said, "As the world celebrates the global warming pact's debut, Bush continues to pander to the energy industry."

Obama Administration 
President Obama was elected under widespread belief that shortly after arriving in office he would take swift and decisive action to join the world in reducing GHG emissions and therefore helping battle global climate change. According to The American, “Obama was widely expected to quickly pass a Kyoto-style domestic cap-and-trade program for greenhouse gases, positioning America to take the moral high ground in Copenhagen, thus luring (or compelling) China and India to accept emissions targets.". Signing the Kyoto protocol seemed like the logical first step so it came as a surprise when he rejected the Kyoto protocol for reasons similar to those of former president Bush. According to The American, “the treaty’s fundamental flaws were well understood: It set very ambitious—and costly—targets for the United States while allowing emissions from the developing world to continue to rise unchecked. (And indeed today, despite Kyoto’s ratification, China has become the world’s leading emitter of greenhouse gases. Americans don’t mind contributing to a solution, but Kyoto asked a lot of sacrifice for little reward.”. President Obama was also expected to represent the U.S in Copenhagen and negotiate terms for the extension of the Kyoto Protocol past 2012. Yet instead of the U.S. contributing to the development and signing of a Kyoto-like treaty, the U.S. is suggesting extreme modifications of the Kyoto emission management system and precipitating intense debates and clashes over the treaty which will follow Kyoto.  

Objections to the Kyoto Protocol and U.S refusal to sign
The
Kyoto Protocol was a huge leap forward towards an intergovernmental united strategy to reduce GHG’s emissions globally. But it wasn’t without its objections. Some of the main criticisms were against categorizing different countries into annexes, with each annex having its own responsibility for emission reductions based on historic GHG emissions and, therefore, historic contribution to global climate change. “Some of the criticism of the Protocol has been based on the idea of climate justice." This has particularly centered on the balance between the low emissions and high vulnerability of the developing world to climate change, compared to high emissions in the developed world.” Other objections were the use of carbon off-sets as a method for a country to reduce its carbon emissions. Although it can be beneficial to balance out one GHG emission by implementing an equal carbon offset, it still doesn’t completely eliminate the original carbon emission and therefore ultimately reduce the amount of GHG’s in the atmosphere.


Many countries fear these new treaty additions will paralyze negotiations and stop many of the countries currently under the Kyoto Protocol from resigning as well as stop new countries, like China and India, from signing. “the Obama administration’s proposals could undermine a new global treaty and weaken the world’s ability to stave off the worst effects of climate change.” Many people feel that the combination of the U.S not signing the Kyoto Protocol (ensuring it will run out in 2012) and the U.S. attempt to change almost the entire architecture of the Kyoto Protocol in Copenhagen means the end of the Kyoto Protocol as we know it and perhaps a new global climate treaty. “If Kyoto is scrapped, it could take several years to negotiate a replacement framework, a delay that could strike a terminal blow at efforts to prevent dangerous climate change. In Europe we want to build on Kyoto, but the US proposal would in effect kill it off. If we have to start from scratch then it all takes time. It could be 2015 or 2016 before something is in place, who knows."

-----

My take on this is very simple: China has become the world’s leading emitter of greenhouse gases but based on carbon emissions per capita, U.S. is ranked 12 while China 78, Brazil 124 and India 145, all behind U.S. and even Singapore. In the 2011 report on HDI, U.S. was ranked 4 while China was 101, i.e. China still has a lot to do in terms of Human Development. Although the major disagreement with the Protocol seems to lie in the fact that countries such as India and China and smaller developing countries were not restricted, I wonder if it is fair for less developed and developing countries (particularly China, India, Brazil) to be subjected to restriction at this point when their economies are rapidly expanding and they have been in a way being brought to this point and made to bear the climate effects of the developments that failed to equitably benefit their economies in the past centuries. Why then shouldn't the Protocol also take into account the retrospective accountability of today's climate change?

I found this excellent paper that exactly echoes my thoughts and I love this quote:

‘‘The idea that developing countries like India and China must share the blame for heating up the earth and destabilising its climate (…) is an excellent example of environmental colonialism.’’ (Agarwal and Narain, 1991, p. 1).

I hope when the day comes that polar bears go into extinction, Bush and Obama and everyone who voted against the ratification of the Protocol is able to sleep at night

Saturday 26 November 2011

One more month to Kimchi Land

Despite being busy at work (which probably is going to last till the end of the year), the upcoming trip is keeping us high spirited. This is my new acquisition for our trip to kimchi land!



I am looking forward to a white Christmas and a ski trip. So please, make sure it is snowing!

On a separate note, it is highly likely that I am wrapping my year at work with a trip to Bangladesh early next month. Bangladesh is the first country I visited in the region when I started my work a year ago and wrapping the first year with a working trip back to Bangladesh will provide a good opportunity to evaluate my year at work in the field that still continue to excite me each and everyday.

Friday 18 November 2011

Korea bound

We are spending Christmas in Seoul!

- Posted using BlogPress from my iPhone

Thursday 17 November 2011

The thought of money behind every smile

Town planning law to be amended

P and I had constant talks about how badly imposed the restrictions are by the City Planning Authority (not just in Bangkok, but the rest of Thailand). City development in Thailand is characterised by commercial developments mushrooming in zones obviously meant only for residential purposes and massive road congestions at peak hours (and despite the bad traffic situation Prime Minister Yingluck insisted the government's tax privilege policies for first-car and first-home buyers should go ahead). Over a casual dinner, my friend convinced me that the problem is not with the lack of law, but the lack of enforcement which is very much link to corrupted officials.

In the recent budget debate, PM said the policies would stimulate the economy and do not cost much money. The policies were promised by her Pheu Thai Party to the people so they could establish themselves with a car and home more easily.

I am not talking about home ownership here because given the current political situation and lack of effective town planning, it is a pandora box. But establishing themselves with a car? I mean seriously, WTF is she talking about? And there is no mention of investing in support infrastructure. If you think that getting into a sardine-packed train is bad, think of getting stuck in traffic jams and then looking effortlessly for parking spaces and then getting stuck in traffic jams again. As least you are given a choice to opt for public transport. Here in Thailand, public transport does not exist.

Monday 14 November 2011

Homer the Chi

With MM and Ho around, the dog is having alot of fun with his new friends, but also alot of stay at home time since we are away alot.

He's still the usual: playful, and enjoying his solitary time working on the chew toys.

This, he has been doing for the last 15 mins.


- Posted using BlogPress from my iPhone

Wednesday 9 November 2011

忙里愉闲

我跟老爸说,工作了六年,从来没有这么忙过,也没忙得这么开心过。

我不知道这会不会是最理想的工作,但起码我相信它。如果一个星期七天里,有五天是做著自己相信的事,那人生中的百分之七十,你起码是活在信念中。

短暂忙完。停下、呼吸,蓄势待发。

- Posted using BlogPress from my iPhone

Monday 7 November 2011

Scandinavian countries as learning lessons for Singapore

We have heard from MP Khaw in his untactical attempt to show his point about the worldwide misconception of Bhutan as one of the happiest country in the world (despite being ranked so by Business Week). According to UN's HDI study that is "much more empirical than the GNH Index you will find in Bhutan, which is quite subjective", Singapore is ranked 26th. Still, we are ranked 4th in Asia behind Japan, Korea and Hong Kong despite being the country with the highest PPP in Asia according to IMF.

Norway, ranked top in HDI also has the top 5 largest GDP per capita (thanks to its offshore reserves). Joining Norway in the top 20 countries in the HDI ranking are its Scandinavian sisters Sweden and Denmark (Finland coming in at 22). None of these countries are blessed with great hoards of oil and gas. They are all borderline socialist states, with generous welfare benefits and lots of redistribution of wealth. Yet they don't let that socialism cross the line into autocracy (see The World's Happiest Countries). According to the Failed State Index, they have one of the most sustainable governance model in the world (uses 12 factors to determine the rating for each nation including security threats, economic implosion, human rights violations and refugee flows).

Coming down to key areas of the incumbent concern, which led to great displeasures in the last few years (i.e. the immigration policy adopted by the government as a strategy to prevent the extinction of the population), Norway has one of the highest fertility rates in Europe (1.96 in 2010). Other Scandinavian countries also have higher fertility rates as compared to the rest of Europe. Sweden is one of the very few developed countries experiencing an upward movement in fertility rate in the last couple of years. Studies have been made about Sweden's generous parental leave, (see Parental Leave): all working parents are entitled to 16 months paid leave per child, the cost being shared between employer and the state. To encourage greater paternal involvement in child-rearing, a minimum of 2 months out of the 16 is required to be used by the "minority" parent, in practice usually the father, and some Swedish political parties on the political left argue for legislation to oblige families to divide the 16 months equally between both parents. In Norway a total of 46 weeks is provided: the mother must take at least 3 weeks immediately before birth and 6 weeks immediately after birth, father must take at least 12 weeks (the so-called "daddy quota") - the rest can be shared between mother and father. The introduction of paternal leave, besides the most apparent, also ensure gender equality and equal opportunity for femals and males in the workplace. To provide a fair picutre, I am also providing statistics about migrant population in the Scandinavia: According to Eurostat, in 2010, there were 1.33 million foreign-born residents in Sweden, corresponding to 14.3% of the total population (12.2% in 2011 for Norway and less than 10% in Denmark).

The Scandinavian countries are in many comparative studies ranked on top when it comes to social capital (Rothstein, 2002), organizational participation (Dekker & van den Broek, 1998), and civil society’s vitality (Salamon et al., 2004). Scandinavian democracy is much talked about around the world, warning against the social engineering of people’s lives and pusking for the occasional close cooperation between state and civil society.

The Scandinavians say it all: A country with happy people (that is measured empirically), a thriving economy, good social and welfare benefits and a democractic and participative civil society with freedom of speech and expression is possible. I am not sure if I have missed out anything that is glaringly failing in the Scandinavian system because I hardly (never) hear any political parties making the comparison. Maybe we are too busy being good examples.

Side note: It is not exactly unpredictable for the incumbent to dwell on the poverty and the state of development of Bhutan to highlight the implausibility of the GNH. So I say better chance next time, WP.

Thursday 3 November 2011

How much do we know about you- Singapore?

In a society that is is characterised by widening income gap and increasingly polarised political views, the focus of political parties on "target group" is not an ingenious strategy (think Thailand, read ‘Winning Chinese-speaking heartland key for WP’). As much as we are asking for better representation in the Parliament and Government, and democratic desion-making being practised, I guess we are also trying to avoid  parties/groups taking complete different directions, causing segregation and further splitting the society into halves (think Thailand again).
 
The gist of the debate for an effective two-party system has always been the introduction of checks and balances into the current system and increased in cluster (race, age, income groups etc.) representation that would ensure all voices are heard, taken into account and integration is ensured. The debate on the effectiveness of a two-party system has always been cut short by the incumbent, inducing fear by making references to chaotic political systems around us (Thailand, Taiwan, etc.) and doubts by emphasizing on the lack of sufficient talent. What they do not highlight is that some of the systems are encumbered by corrupted officials and an inefficient public service sector, both we are presently free of; that the current ruling party did manage to attract talents who, due to disagreement in direction and vision left and would have contributed better to national development by forming a coalition of their own that is not hampered in its operation.
 
What really perturbed me is not the foul play in politics (which is natural for a party that has been in power for 5 decades and the incumbent is not shy about), but the usage of national resources (including human resources) for party development (think scholars); the use of brain washing methods (through education, mainstream media, government initiatives) to increase the incompetency to make rational political decisions and decrease the population's sensitivity to political issues; and to deprive us of our right to information, freedom of thought and freedom of opinion and expression.
 
How much of pre-PAP politics do we know? What exactly is the objective of our national education if the principles of good governance is introduced through the 'legacy of the PAP government'? How are we to foster sense of identity, pride and self-respect without knowing our civic rights, the Constitution of Singapore etc.? How are we to make informed choices when 20 years on after the amendment to our Constitution that people are still questioning the role of the President?

Tuesday 1 November 2011

The eulogy that makes me smile

For a man who left a legacy, the most admirable is probably his immense passion for life and the affection for the people he loved.